Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Ruch Chorzow
0 - 1
Jagiellonia


Steczyk (28'), Szur (59'), Bartolewski (66'), Wojtowicz (88'), Feliks (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nene (84')
Kubicki (25'), Laski (78'), Kupisz (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Ruch Chorzow and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 2-2 Ruch Chorzow
Monday, August 14 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Ruch ChorzowDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
56.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)51.58% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)73.37% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.13% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.08% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)77.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ruch Chorzow 56.37%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 19.75%
    Draw 23.87%
Ruch ChorzowDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 19.75%

rhs 2.0


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