Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
4 - 1
Puszcza Niepolomice

Laski (45+2'), Nene (66'), Pululu (81'), Lewicki (88')
Matysik (75'), Wdowik (87'), Kupisz (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Solowiej (76')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 3-1 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 16 at 7.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
46.95%25.08%27.96%
Both teams to score 54.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05%48.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96%71.03%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12%20.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42%53.58%
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35%31.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94%68.06%
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 46.95%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 27.96%
    Draw 25.08%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.96%

rhs 2.0


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