Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Pawel Olszewski 49' yellowcard
  • Afimico Pululu 79' goal
  • Bartlomiej Wdowik 86' goal
  • goal Ernest Terpilowski 36'
  • yellowcard Ernest Terpilowski 39'
  • yellowcard Jordi Sanchez 58'
  • yellowcard Luis Marques Almeida Vieira Silva 80'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 29, 2023 4.30pm
Jagiellonia 4 - 1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jesus Imaz

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 30, 2023 7.00pm
Szczecin 2 - 1 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jordi Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.21% (-0.04)
Draw 26.47% (+0.04)
Widzew Lodz 30.32% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.15% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.59% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 53.41% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 25.06% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 74.94% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 11.39% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 88.6% (+0.08)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 75.48% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 24.52% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 41.01% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 58.99% (+0.12)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5 67.77% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.23% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 31.28% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.72% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.2%
Draw 26.46%
Widzew Lodz 30.32%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 11.1% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.46%
Widzew Lodz
0-1 @ 8.95% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.32%