Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Pululu (79' pen.), Wdowik (86')
Olszewski (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Terpilowski (36')
Terpilowski (39'), Sanchez (58'), Marques Almeida Vieira Silva (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, July 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawWidzew Lodz
43.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)26.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)30.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 51.15% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-0.143 -0.14)53.41% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.12 -0.12)74.94% (0.12 0.12)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)24.52% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-0.113 -0.11)58.99% (0.112 0.11)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)32.23% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (-0.084 -0.08)68.72% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.2%
    Widzew Lodz 30.32%
    Draw 26.46%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Jagiellonia vs Widzew Lodz

Jagiellonia Bialystok
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Widzew Lodz
20.0%
10
rhs 2.0


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