Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Leonardo Koutris 37' yellowcard
  • Luka Zahovic 46' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 64' goal
  • goal Bartlomiej Pawlowski 4'
  • yellowcard Fabio Nunes 43'

Pogon Szczecin vs Widzew Lodz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 21, 2023 5.00pm
Warta Poznan 0 - 1 Szczecin
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Kamil Grosicki

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 23, 2023 7.00pm
Widzew Lodz 3 - 2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jordi Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result

Pogon Szczecin 47.72% (-0.18)
Draw 25.07% (+0.16)
Widzew Lodz 27.21% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.55% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.63% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 49.37% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 28.58% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 71.42% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 13.7% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 86.3% (+0.41)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 79.28% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 20.71% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 46.67% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 53.33% (+0.54)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5 67.54% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 32.45% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 31.02% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 68.97% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 47.72%
Draw 25.07%
Widzew Lodz 27.21%
Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 10.58% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.33% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.72% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
Widzew Lodz
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.26% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.21%