Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Zahovic (46'), Koulouris (64')
Koutris (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pawlowski (4')
Nunes (43')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Lodz
47.72% (-0.175 -0.17)25.07% (0.157 0.16)27.21% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.63% (-0.646 -0.65)49.37% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (-0.585 -0.59)71.42% (0.589 0.59)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.336 -0.34)20.71% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.533 -0.53)53.33% (0.53700000000001 0.54)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)32.45% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.367 -0.37)68.97% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 47.72%
    Widzew Lodz 27.21%
    Draw 25.07%
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.21%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!