UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

KR-völlur - Gervigras

KR Reykjavik
1 - 0
Szczecin

(Pogon Szczecin win 4-2 on aggregate)

Bjartur Hallsson (44')
Bjartur Hallsson (32'), Sigurjonsson (56'), Chopart (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zahovic (46'), Bichakhchyan (90+3')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between KR Reykjavik and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

KR Reykjavik

Last Game: Szczecin 4-1 KR Reykjavik
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Pogon Szczecin

Last Game: Szczecin 4-1 KR Reykjavik
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KR Reykjavik win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KR Reykjavik win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KR Reykjavik in this match.

Result
KR Reykjavik	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
37.32% ( -0.11)	26.32% ( -0)	36.35% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.43% (

0.02)

51.57% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.64% (

0.02)

73.36% (

-0.02)

KR Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.05)

26.82% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-0.07)

62.12% (

0.07)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.08)

27.39% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

0.1)

62.86% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

KR Reykjavik 37.33%

Pogon Szczecin 36.35%

Draw 26.32%

KR Reykjavik	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.33%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.35%