Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
4 - 1
KR Reykjavik

Drygas (7', 56'), Zahovic (16'), Bartkowski (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kristofer Larusson (71')
Kristofer Larusson (80')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Pogon Szczecin and KR Reykjavik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

KR Reykjavik

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Flora 2-1 KR Reykjavik
Thursday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for KR Reykjavik had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest KR Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawKR Reykjavik
45.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.52% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)40.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)62.48% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)18.1% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49.03% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
KR Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)24.88% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)59.5% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 45.11%
    KR Reykjavik 31.36%
    Draw 23.53%
Pogon SzczecinDrawKR Reykjavik
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 45.11%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Szczecin vs KR Reykjavik

Pogon Szczecin
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
KR Reykjavik
10.0%
10