Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia
2 - 1
Zaglebie Lubin

Makuch (10', 35')
Oshima (73'), Smiglewski (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chodyna (90+2' pen.)
Nalepa (2'), Kludka (9'), Chodyna (55'), Buric (77')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Cracovia
Saturday, August 5 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, August 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KS Cracovia would win this match.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawZaglebie Lubin
41.45% (0.129 0.13)27.18% (-0.159 -0.16)31.36% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.41% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.613 0.61)55.84% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.497 0.5)76.96% (-0.496 -0.5)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.35299999999999 0.35)26.54% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (0.46700000000001 0.47)61.74% (-0.466 -0.47)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.339 0.34)32.74% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (0.377 0.38)69.29% (-0.376 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 41.45%
    Zaglebie Lubin 31.36%
    Draw 27.18%
KS CracoviaDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.45%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.36%