Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Rakow

Legia
1 - 2
Rakow

Wszolek (45+2')
Pesqueira (5'), Ribeiro (49'), Elitim (52'), Kramer (90+4'), Wszolek (90+6'), Augustyniak (90+8'), Dias (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kochergin (26'), Augustyniak (73' og.)
Szwarga (6'), Papanikolaou (49'), Berggren (63'), Racovitan (80'), Cebula (87'), Zwolinski (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawRakow Czestochowa
53.62% (0.526 0.53)23.06% (-0.268 -0.27)23.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 56.22% (0.59500000000001 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (0.932 0.93)44.02% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6% (0.90199999999999 0.9)66.4% (-0.896 -0.9)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.527 0.53)16.37% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54% (0.94 0.94)45.99% (-0.934 -0.93)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.29300000000001 0.29)32.78% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.326 0.33)69.34% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 53.62%
    Rakow Czestochowa 23.32%
    Draw 23.06%
Legia WarsawDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 23.32%

rhs 2.0


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