Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Tomas Pekhart 8' goal
  • Jurgen Celhaka 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Igor Strzalek 90'+2' goal
  • goal Sebastian Musiolik 12'
  • yellowcard Robert Dadok 45'

Legia Warsaw vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 7.00pm
Piast Gliwice 1 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Josue Pesqueira

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gornik 1 - 0 Ruch Chorzow
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Adrian Kapralik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 16.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.

Result

Legia Warsaw 64.95% (-0.06)
Draw 18.92% (+0.04)
Gornik Zabrze 16.13% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.15% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.38% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 35.61% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 42.33% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 57.67% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 24.04% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 75.96% (+0.09)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 89.68% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 10.32% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 66.24% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 33.76% (+0.10)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 64.84% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 35.16% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 28.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.91% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 64.95%
Draw 18.92%
Gornik Zabrze 16.13%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.24% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 64.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.61% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.92%
Gornik Zabrze
1-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 16.13%