Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT INEA stadion
  • Jesper Karlstrom 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 70' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 79' yellowcard
  • goal Daisuke Yokota 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Musiolik 51'

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 20, 2023 4.30pm
Slask Wroclaw 3 - 1 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Jagiellonia 4 - 1 Gornik
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Adrian Kapralik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Lech Poznan 58.24% (-0.03)
Draw 22.03% (+0.01)
Gornik Zabrze 19.73% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.43% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.9% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.71% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.29% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.31% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.69% (-0.01)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 85.22% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.78% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 43.03% (+0.01)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 63.87% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.13% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.08% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 72.91% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 58.23%
Draw 22.02%
Gornik Zabrze 19.73%
Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 58.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.02%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 19.73%