Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
58.24% ( -0.02)	22.03% ( 0)	19.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

0.01)

43.9% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.71% (

0.01)

66.29% (

-0.01)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

-0)

14.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

-0.01)

43.03% (

0.01)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

0.03)

36.13% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

0.03)

72.91% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 58.23%

Gornik Zabrze 19.73%

Draw 22.02%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 58.23%	1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.02%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.73%