Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.