Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

LKS Lodz
2 - 1
Korona Kielce

Ramirez (28' pen.), Tutyskinas (90+9')
Louveau (39'), Juric (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dalmau (88' pen.)
Podgorski (30'), Deaconu (54'), Nono (86')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

LKS Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-0 LKS Lodz
Friday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-1 Slask Wroclaw
Monday, July 24 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LKS Lodz win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a LKS Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LKS Lodz would win this match.

Result
LKS LodzDrawKorona Kielce
43.47% (0.197 0.2)24.89% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)31.65% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (0.192 0.19)46.26% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (0.18 0.18)68.55% (-0.178 -0.18)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (0.17400000000001 0.17)21.32% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (0.264 0.26)54.27% (-0.262 -0.26)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 43.47%
    Korona Kielce 31.65%
    Draw 24.88%
LKS LodzDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.47%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.65%

How you voted: LKS Lodz vs Korona Kielce

LKS Lodz
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Korona Kielce
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0


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