Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
0 - 0
Piast Gliwice


Dadok (16'), Podolski (16'), Urban (17'), Jensen (31'), Szczesniak (61')
FT

Mosor (16'), Czerwinski (16'), Dziczek (39'), Chrapek (60')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 2-0 Gornik
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPiast Gliwice
23.7% (-1.14 -1.14)26.42% (-0.338 -0.34)49.88% (1.478 1.48)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (0.361 0.36)57.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.288 0.29)77.97% (-0.289 -0.29)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (-0.851 -0.85)39.67% (0.849 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.795 -0.8)76.35% (0.794 0.79)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.82900000000001 0.83)22.97% (-0.83 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (1.205 1.21)56.77% (-1.205 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 23.7%
    Piast Gliwice 49.87%
    Draw 26.41%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPiast Gliwice
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.7%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 13.4% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.338 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.279 0.28)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.87%