UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Antona Malatinskeho

Spartak Trnava
3 - 1
Lech Poznan

Ofori (37'), Daniel (50'), Stetina (74')
Djuricin (40'), Prochazka (40'), Stetina (57'), Daniel (59'), Sulek (66'), Mikovic (80'), Gorosito (90+7'), Kostrna (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Velde (63')
Murawski (73'), Ishak (90+7'), Sousa (90+7'), Sousa (90+7')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Trnava

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Spartak Trnava	Draw	Lech Poznan
32.6% ( -0.78)	26.82% ( 0.14)	40.58% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 50.91% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

-0.72)

54.12% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

-0.61)

75.54% (

0.61)

Spartak Trnava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.88)

31.01% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-1.04)

67.31% (

1.04)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

0.02)

26.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

0.02)

61.31% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Spartak Trnava 32.6%

Lech Poznan 40.58%

Draw 26.82%

Spartak Trnava	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.58%