Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Spartak Trnava
50.8%	24.42%	24.77%

Both teams to score 53.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47%

48.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34%

70.65%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89%

19.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27%

50.73%

Spartak Trnava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33%

70.66%

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 50.8%

Spartak Trnava 24.77%

Draw 24.42%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Spartak Trnava
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.8%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.77%