Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.