UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Štadión Antona Malatinského

Spartak Trnava
0 - 2
Rakow

(Rakow Czestochowa win 3-0 on aggregate)

Daniel (35'), Yusuf (38'), Bukata (45'), Mikovic (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ivi (30', 45+1' pen.)
Czyz (82')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Trnava

Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa

Last Game: Astana 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, July 28 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (4.96%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Spartak Trnava	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
37.18% ( 0.01)	22.21% ( -0.01)	40.6% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.44% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.18% (

0.05)

31.81% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.65% (

0.06)

53.35% (

-0.07)

Spartak Trnava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

0.03)

17.99% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

0.05)

48.84% (

-0.06)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

0.02)

16.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

0.04)

46.31% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Spartak Trnava 37.18%

Rakow Czestochowa 40.6%

Draw 22.21%

Spartak Trnava	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.18%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.3% 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 40.6%