MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 10:22:27| >> :120:70505:70505:
Astana
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 4pm UK
Astana Arena
Rakow

Astana
0 - 1
Rakow


Gabyshev (45+2'), Ebong (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kochergin (16')
Arsenic (21'), Musiolik (32')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Astana and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Astana
Thursday, July 21 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Astana
Thursday, July 21 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Astana win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
AstanaDrawRakow Czestochowa
35.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.56% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 42.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 66.7% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06% (-0.11 -0.11)33.94% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.2% (-0.125 -0.13)55.8% (0.126 0.13)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)19.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)51.9% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)16.8% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22% (-0.101 -0.1)46.78% (0.103 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Astana 35.29%
    Rakow Czestochowa 42.15%
    Draw 22.56%
AstanaDrawRakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 42.15%

How you voted: Astana vs Rakow

Astana
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Rakow Czestochowa
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 8pm
Rakow
5-0
Astana
Ivi (4'), Wdowiak (42'), Gutkovskis (66'), Kochergin (77'), Tudor (90+5' pen.)
Sorescu (12'), Racovitan (32')
Sorescu (21')

Manzorro (13'), Darabaev (29'), Kusyapov (48'), Dosmagambetov (69'), Beskorovainyi (90+3')
Darabaev (62')
rhs 2.0
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