UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion GKS-u

Rakow
5 - 0
Astana

(Rakow Czestochowa win 6-0 on aggregate)

Ivi (4'), Wdowiak (42'), Gutkovskis (66'), Kochergin (77'), Tudor (90+5' pen.)
Sorescu (12'), Racovitan (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Manzorro (13'), Darabaev (29'), Kusyapov (48'), Dosmagambetov (69'), Beskorovainyi (90+3')
Darabaev (62')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Astana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

Last Game: Gent 3-0 Rakow
Thursday, August 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Astana

Last Game: Astana 3-4 KuPS
Thursday, August 12 at 2pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Astana
53.63% ( 0.01)	23.93% ( 0.01)	22.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.31% (

-0.04)

48.69% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

-0.04)

70.8% (

0.04)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

-0.01)

18.08% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51% (

-0.02)

49% (

0.02)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

-0.03)

36.16% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05% (

-0.03)

72.94% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 53.63%

Astana 22.44%

Draw 23.92%

Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Astana
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.63%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.44%