Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
6
-
Jose Naranjo
7'
-
Jesus Imaz
17'
-
Taras Romanczuk
33'
-
Bartlomiej Wdowik
42'
-
Bartlomiej Wdowik
45'
-
Dominik Marczuk
64'
-
Daisuke Yokota
5'
-
Sebastian Musiolik
38'
-
Kamil Lukoszek
43'
-
Erik Janza
80'
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok
43.66%
▲
(+0.33)
Draw
25.17%
▼
(-0.12)
Gornik Zabrze
31.17%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
55.7%
▲
(+0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.31%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 2.5
47.69%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 3.5
30.11%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 3.5
69.89%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 4.5
14.75%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 4.5
85.25%
▼
(-0.28)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5
78.17%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
21.83%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
44.94%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 1.5
55.06%
▼
(-0.51)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5
71.26%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
28.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
35.43%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
64.57%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Jagiellonia Bialystok
43.66%
Draw
25.17%
Gornik Zabrze
31.17%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0
@
9.55%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.66%
2-1 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.66%
Draw
1-1
@
11.9%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1
@
7.82%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 31.17%
1-2 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 31.17%