Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
1 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Kapralik (24')
Podolski (43'), Urban (44'), Sekulic (68'), Dadok (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sanchez (90+5')
Sanchez (78'), Cigaņiks (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Gornik
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawWidzew Lodz
37.6% (-0.549 -0.55)26.93% (-0.118 -0.12)35.47% (0.664 0.66)
Both teams to score 51.1% (0.432 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (0.517 0.52)54.12% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (0.432 0.43)75.54% (-0.434 -0.43)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.87% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)63.48% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.66800000000001 0.67)29.15% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.818 0.82)65.09% (-0.819 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 37.6%
    Widzew Lodz 35.46%
    Draw 26.93%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.065 0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.46%

rhs 2.0


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