Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.