Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
1 - 0
LKS Lodz

Sanchez (45')
Nunes (6'), Przybulek (61'), Hanousek (83'), Milos (90+7'), Szota (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lorenc (35'), Letniowski (85'), Milos (85'), Marciniak (90+8')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and LKS Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, August 4 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 2-1 Korona Kielce
Friday, August 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest LKS Lodz win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Widzew Lodz in this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawLKS Lodz
40.23% (-0.234 -0.23)27.19% (-0.121 -0.12)32.58% (0.358 0.36)
Both teams to score 49.78% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44% (0.546 0.55)55.56% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (0.445 0.45)76.73% (-0.443 -0.44)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.13 0.13)27.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.166 0.17)62.44% (-0.164 -0.16)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (0.524 0.52)31.74% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.597 0.6)68.17% (-0.595 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 40.22%
    LKS Lodz 32.58%
    Draw 27.19%
Widzew LodzDrawLKS Lodz
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.58%

rhs 2.0


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