Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Tarczynski Arena

Slask Wroclaw
3 - 1
Lech Poznan

Exposito (37', 73'), Szwedzik (90+2')
Pokorny (14'), Konczkowski (46'), Zukowski (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Velde (51' pen.)
Czerwinski (11'), Szymczak (16'), Dagerstal (75'), Karlstrom (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slask Wroclaw

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 3-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46%. A win for Slask Wroclaw had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Slask Wroclaw win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Slask WroclawDrawLech Poznan
28.23% (0.058000000000003 0.06)25.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)46% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)51.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Slask Wroclaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (0.048000000000002 0.05)32.83% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)69.4% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.4% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)55.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Slask Wroclaw 28.23%
    Lech Poznan 46%
    Draw 25.76%
Slask WroclawDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46%