Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46%. A win for Slask Wroclaw had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Slask Wroclaw win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.