Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia3 - 2Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Tournament favourites Aston Villa suffer a shock 3-2 defeat to Legia Warsaw in the opening match of their Europa Conference League campaign.
Team News
Unai Emery makes five changes for Aston Villa's Europa Conference League fixture against Legia Warsaw on Thursday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Legia Warsaw and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
Result | ||
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.45% ( -0.1) | 22.21% ( 0) | 26.33% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 62.55% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.85% ( 0.07) | 37.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.65% ( 0.07) | 59.35% ( -0.07) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% ( -0.01) | 14.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.18% ( -0.02) | 42.82% ( 0.02) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( 0.11) | 26.7% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( 0.14) | 61.95% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Legia Warsaw 51.45%
Aston Villa 26.33%
Draw 22.21%
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.33% |
How you voted: Legia vs Aston Villa
Legia Warsaw
14.1%Draw
13.0%Aston Villa
72.8%92
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 02:08:39
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Man Utd 'open to offers for entire squad except for three players'
2
Premier League trio to battle for Brighton midfielder?
3
Three Premier League clubs 'interested in Leicester midfielder'
4
Picture Spoilers: Next week on EastEnders (May 6-9)
5
'Critics make me want to work harder' - Man Utd man keen to prove himself at Old Trafford
6
Four players who could replace Thiago Silva at Chelsea
7
MotoGP and F1: Not likely to share race weekend, says circuit boss
8
This weekend's permutations: Who can be crowned champions, win promotion or suffer relegation?
9
Dortmund vs. PSG - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Colwill, Chilwell, Gusto - Chelsea injury news and return dates before Spurs clash
Sport News 24/7