UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK

Generali Arena

Austria Vienna
3 - 5
Legia

Gruber (68', 82'), Ranftl (90+6')
Gruber (45+3'), da Graca (64'), Fischer (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Elitim (39'), Gual (45'), Pekhart (58'), Rosolek (87'), Muci (90+10')
Elitim (35'), Augustyniak (45+3'), Slisz (89'), Pesqueira (90+3'), Muci (90+10')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Austria Vienna and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Salzburg 2-0 Austria Vienna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Legia
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Austria Vienna	Draw	Legia Warsaw
28.89% ( 0.03)	24.08% ( -0.16)	47.02% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

0.73)

43.98% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

0.71)

66.36% (

-0.71)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.39)

28.41% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

0.49)

64.17% (

-0.5)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

0.34)

18.85% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69% (

0.56)

50.3% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Austria Vienna 28.9%

Legia Warsaw 47.02%

Draw 24.07%

Austria Vienna	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.9%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.02%