Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.