Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.