Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Inter Milan
36.06% ( 0.56)	25.48% ( 0.13)	38.46% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 56% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1% (

-0.52)

47.9% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92% (

-0.48)

70.07% (

0.48)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

0.08)

25.82% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

0.11)

60.78% (

-0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.6)

24.5% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.85)

58.96% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 36.06%

Inter Milan 38.46%

Draw 25.47%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 36.06%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.46%