Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.