Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Final
May 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gonzalez (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Martinez (29', 37')

The Match

Match Report

Two goals from Lautaro Martinez help Inter Milan beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Coppa Italia final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
43.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.74% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.06% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (0.011999999999993 0.01)47.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.016999999999996 0.02)28.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 43.12%
    Inter Milan 31.74%
    Draw 25.13%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.74%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
18.7%
Draw
12.2%
Inter Milan
69.1%
123
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
gameweek 28
Inter Milan
0-1
Fiorentina

Brozovic (77'), Acerbi (90+4')
Bonaventura (53')
Castrovilli (58'), Ikone (76'), Amrabat (79'), Italiano (90+6')
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Acerbi (36')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-1
Fiorentina
Dumfries (55')
D'Ambrosio (72')
Torreira (50')
Milenkovic (39'), Saponara (56')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (23')
Gonzalez (78')
Gonzalez (78')
Darmian (52'), Dzeko (55'), Perisic (87')
Skriniar (18'), Darmian (63'), Calhanoglu (83')
Feb 5, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Fiorentina
0-2
Inter Milan

Amrabat (60'), Martinez (75'), Pulgar (81')
Barella (31'), Perisic (52')
Perisic (42')
rhs 2.0


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