Conference League
May 18, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
ET
  • Zeki Amdouni 55' goal
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 35'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 72'
  • goal Antonin Barak 120'+9'

Basel vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
May 11, 2023 8.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Basel

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
May 11, 2023 8.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Basel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Basel 28.5% (+0.85)
Draw 24.12% (-0.07)
Fiorentina 47.38% (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.66% (+0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 44.42% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 33.21% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 66.79% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 16.95% (+0.60)
Under 4.5 83.05% (-0.60)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 71.08% (+1.06)
Under 0.5 28.92% (-1.06)
Over 1.5 35.2% (+1.29)
Under 1.5 64.8% (-1.30)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 81.12% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 18.88% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.36% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Basel 28.5%
Draw 24.12%
Fiorentina 47.38%
Basel
2-1 @ 7.01% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.2% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.9% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.74% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 28.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.84% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.12%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 3.25% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.38%

Head to Head

Conference League
May 11, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Arthur Cabral 25' goal
  • goal Andy Diouf 71'
  • goal Zeki Amdouni 90'+2'
Europa League
Nov 26, 2015 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Behrang Safari 22' yellowcard
  • Birkir Bjarnason 26' yellowcard
  • Marek Suchy 40' goal
  • Marc Janko 45' yellowcard
  • Marek Suchy 65' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Elneny 74' goal
  • Luca Zuffi 78' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 23'
  • redcard Facundo Roncaglia 26'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 36'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Rodriguez 45'
  • yellowcard Milan Badelj 45'
  • yellowcard Borja Valero 75'
Europa League
Sep 17, 2015 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikola Kalinic 3' goal
  • Facundo Roncaglia 35' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Rodriguez 65' redcard
  • yellowcard Taulant Xhaka 34'
  • yellowcard Marek Suchy 57'
  • goal Birkir Bjarnason 71'
  • goal Mohamed Elneny 79'
  • yellowcard Marc Janko 83'