Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Luzern

Basel
0 - 2
Luzern

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sorgic (71'), Breedijk (89')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Basel
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Luzern

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 4-1 FC Zurich
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
43.4% (0.114 0.11)23.63% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)32.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.89% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.06% (0.107 0.11)39.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.10899999999999 0.11)62.29% (-0.108 -0.11)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27% (0.090000000000003 0.09)18.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89% (0.153 0.15)50.1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.00099999999999056 0)23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.03%
Score Analysis
    Basel 43.4%
    Luzern 32.97%
    Draw 23.63%
BaselDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 23
Luzern
0-1
Basel

Loretz (28'), Beka (51'), Simani (67'), Chader (72')
Chader (77')
Frei (29' pen.)
Vogel (29'), Lopez (45'), Pelmard (52'), Diouf (67'), Burger (75'), Augustin (85'), Hitz (90+6')
Jan 28, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 18
Basel
2-3
Luzern
Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Pelmard (83')
Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Diambou (42'), Dorn (65'), Chader (71'), Simani (83')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 3
Luzern
0-2
Basel

Simani (3')
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 31
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 19
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')