Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli1 - 0Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Napoli 1-1 Fiorentina
For all the joyous release of the last few days, Napoli have been off the boil for a while now, while Fiorentina may have their minds on other matters. With all the action occurring in the Stadio Maradona stands, it could be a more meandering affair on the field of play; ending in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
46.64% ( -0.03) | 24.92% ( 0.07) | 28.43% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
