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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Napoli logo
Udinese
1 - 1
Napoli
Lovric (13')
Ehizibue (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (52')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 0-1 Napoli

Having stormed through most of the season at an incredible pace, Napoli have been off the boil in recent weeks and now lack the same intensity. That does not diminish their feat of claiming a first Scudetto since the days of Diego Maradona, and they can celebrate doing so with a ninth straight away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawNapoli
22.99% (0.101 0.1) 24.71% (0.113 0.11) 52.3% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.345 -0.34)51.32% (0.349 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.302 -0.3)73.15% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)37.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.099 -0.1)73.9% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.217 -0.22)19.6% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.357 -0.36)51.54% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 22.99%
    Napoli 52.29%
    Draw 24.71%
UdineseDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.99%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 11.85% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.29%

How you voted: Udinese vs Napoli

Udinese
9.5%
Draw
12.2%
Napoli
78.2%
147
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Jesus (25')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
gameweek 17
Udinese
1-2
Napoli
Lasagna (27')
Arslan (44'), Samir (67'), Zeegelaar (86')
Insigne (15' pen.), Bakayoko (90')
Di Lorenzo (37'), Gattuso (52')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus1511312391436
2Inter Milan1411213372635
3AC Milan159242618829
4Roma1473427161124
5Napoli157352618824
6Atalanta BCAtalanta157262418623
7Fiorentina147252317623
8Bologna145721611522
9Lazio156361616021
10Torino145451316-319
11Monza144641514118
12FrosinoneFrosinone145362024-418
13Lecce143741619-316
14Genoa144371519-415
15SassuoloSassuolo144372126-515
16Udinese141941221-912
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona152581322-911
18Empoli14329926-1711
19CagliariCagliari142481326-1310
20Salernitana141581028-188

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