Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.