Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 1
Napoli

Lovric (13')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Osimhen (52')

Reaction

Napoli's Victor Osimhen celebrates scoring on May 4, 2023

Napoli crowned Serie A champions with Udinese draw

Napoli are crowned Serie A champions for the third time in their history thanks to a 1-1 draw with Udinese at the Dacia Arena.

May 4, 21:26

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Napoli
22.99% ( 0.1)	24.71% ( 0.11)	52.3% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

-0.34)

51.32% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

-0.3)

73.15% (

0.3)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

-0.1)

37.11% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1% (

-0.1)

73.9% (

0.1)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

-0.22)

19.6% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.46% (

-0.36)

51.54% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Udinese 22.99%

Napoli 52.29%

Draw 24.71%

Udinese	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.99%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.29%