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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Napoli logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Napoli

Lovric (13')
Ehizibue (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 0-1 Napoli

Having stormed through most of the season at an incredible pace, Napoli have been off the boil in recent weeks and now lack the same intensity. That does not diminish their feat of claiming a first Scudetto since the days of Diego Maradona, and they can celebrate doing so with a ninth straight away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawNapoli
22.99% (0.101 0.1) 24.71% (0.113 0.11) 52.3% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.345 -0.34)51.32% (0.349 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.302 -0.3)73.15% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)37.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.099 -0.1)73.9% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.217 -0.22)19.6% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.357 -0.36)51.54% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 22.99%
    Napoli 52.29%
    Draw 24.71%
UdineseDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.99%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 11.85% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.29%

How you voted: Udinese vs Napoli

Udinese
9.5%
Draw
12.2%
Napoli
78.2%
147
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Jesus (25')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
gameweek 17
Udinese
1-2
Napoli
Lasagna (27')
Arslan (44'), Samir (67'), Zeegelaar (86')
Insigne (15' pen.), Bakayoko (90')
Di Lorenzo (37'), Gattuso (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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