Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Sion had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.