Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
34.24% (![]() | 25.76% (![]() | 39.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.64% (![]() | 49.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.59% (![]() | 71.4% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% (![]() | 27.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% (![]() | 63.12% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% (![]() | 58.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.65% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 35 |
2 | Juventus | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
3 | AC Milan | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Roma | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 24 |
5 | Napoli | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Fiorentina | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 20 |
9 | Lazio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Torino | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Monza | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
12 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Udinese | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
20 | Salernitana | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |