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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Inter logo

Napoli
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan

 Despite their heavy workload, Inter's winning run can continue at Stadio Maradona, as they seem to be at the peak of their powers - no matter which XI Simone Inzaghi sends out clad in Nerazzurri. They have actually scored the most goals from open play in Serie A this season - Napoli have incidentally recorded the most from set-pieces - and the visitors' greater goal threat on current form should swing the result in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
34.24% (-0.286 -0.29) 25.76% (0.283 0.28) 39.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-1.303 -1.3)49.36% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-1.186 -1.19)71.4% (1.185 1.19)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.804 -0.8)27.59% (0.801 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (-1.043 -1.04)63.12% (1.042 1.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)24.35% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.83 -0.83)58.75% (0.828 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 34.24%
    Inter Milan 39.99%
    Draw 25.76%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.341 0.34)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.99%

How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan

Napoli
24.3%
Draw
19.6%
Inter Milan
56.1%
107
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Dzeko (56')
Dzeko (27')
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
gameweek 25
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Insigne (7' pen.)
Insigne (37')
Dzeko (47')
Brozovic (60')
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
gameweek 13
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Zielinski (17'), Mertens (78')
Osimhen (10'), Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (35')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Handanovic (36' og.)
Koulibaly (38'), Demme (80'), Politano (87'), Mertens (88'), Manolas (90+4')
Eriksen (55')
Darmian (63'), Hakimi (90+5')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149
> Serie A Full Table


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