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Serie A

Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Inter logo

Napoli
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
34.24% (-0.286 -0.29)25.76% (0.283 0.28)39.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-1.303 -1.3)49.36% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-1.186 -1.19)71.4% (1.185 1.19)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.804 -0.8)27.59% (0.801 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (-1.043 -1.04)63.12% (1.042 1.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)24.35% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.83 -0.83)58.75% (0.828 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 34.24%
    Inter Milan 39.99%
    Draw 25.76%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.341 0.34)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.99%

How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan

Napoli
24.3%
Draw
19.6%
Inter Milan
56.1%
107
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Dzeko (56')
Dzeko (27')
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
gameweek 25
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Insigne (7' pen.)
Insigne (37')
Dzeko (47')
Brozovic (60')
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
gameweek 13
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Zielinski (17'), Mertens (78')
Osimhen (10'), Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (35')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Handanovic (36' og.)
Koulibaly (38'), Demme (80'), Politano (87'), Mertens (88'), Manolas (90+4')
Eriksen (55')
Darmian (63'), Hakimi (90+5')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')