Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 0
Napoli

Mota (18'), Petagna (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Napoli
20.35% ( -0.07)	23.56% ( -0.08)	56.09% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41% (

0.22)

49.59% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38% (

0.19)

71.61% (

-0.19)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

0.05)

38.75% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

0.04)

75.49% (

-0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5% (

0.14)

17.5% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.99% (

0.23)

48% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Monza 20.35%

Napoli 56.09%

Draw 23.55%

Monza	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.35%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.09%