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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Monza

Torino
1 - 1
Monza

Sanabria (46')
Karamoh (88'), Ricci (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caprari (86')
Augusto (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Torino
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Monza

As Monza score regularly - regardless of whether they are home or away - Torino will struggle to keep them at bay for 90 minutes. By contrast, the Granata are often too reliant on Antonio Sanabria to bail them out and can be frustrated in the final third, so a draw may be the best they can hope for on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawMonza
41.66% (-0.285 -0.29) 27.54% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 30.8% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (-0.012 -0.01)57.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.161 -0.16)27.11% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.208 -0.21)62.5% (0.205 0.2)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.18199999999999 0.18)33.92% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (0.197 0.2)70.59% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Torino 41.66%
    Monza 30.8%
    Draw 27.53%
TorinoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: Torino vs Monza

Torino
38.3%
Draw
27.7%
Monza
34.0%
47
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Monza
1-2
Torino
Mota (90+4')
Mari (61')
Miranchuk (43'), Sanabria (66')
Singo (19'), Adopo (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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