Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Monza |
| 41.66% ( | 27.54% ( | 30.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( | 57.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( | 78.16% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( | 27.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( | 62.5% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( | 33.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.8% |