Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Sottil (23')
Gonzalez (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Darmian (52'), Dzeko (55'), Perisic (87')
Skriniar (18'), Darmian (63'), Calhanoglu (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
29%	23.29%	47.72%

Both teams to score 60.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.74%

40.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.37%

62.63%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35%

61.65%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86%

17.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.64%

47.36%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 29%

Inter Milan 47.72%

Draw 23.29%

Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.07% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 8% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.72%