Premier League Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ethan Pinnock 85' goal

Brentford vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Spurs 1 - 3 Brentford
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
Brighton 1 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Brentford 21.67% (+0.03)
Draw 23.75% (-0.01)
Manchester City 54.57% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.83% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 48.8% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 29.1% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 70.9% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.05% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.94% (-0.04)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 63.03% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 36.96% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 26.24% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.75% (-0.06)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 82.23% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.76% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.53% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.46% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Brentford 21.67%
Draw 23.75%
Manchester City 54.57%
Brentford
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 21.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 23.75%
Manchester City
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.8% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 54.57%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Phil Foden 45'+1' goal
  • goal Ivan Toney 16'
  • goal Ivan Toney 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Riyad Mahrez 40' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 69' goal
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2021 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Phil Foden 16'

Build-up

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