Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.