Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Hibs logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Hibernian

Duran (11'), Bailey (34'), Cash (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
48.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)22.87%28.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 62.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)60.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.71%
    Hibernian 28.42%
    Draw 22.86%
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Hibernian

Aston Villa
85.1%
Draw
9.5%
Hibernian
5.4%
74
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 5.45pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Hibernian
0-5
Aston Villa

Boyle (90+1')
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')