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John McGinn
17'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
45'+4'
-
Matty Cash
86'
-
Jhon Duran
87'
-
Douglas Luiz
90'+8'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+11'
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Leon Bailey
90'+14'
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Jhon Duran
90'+15'
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Eberechi Eze
17'
-
Odsonne Edouard
47'
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Will Hughes
53'
-
Joel Ward
90'+8'
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Aston Villa Goals
Crystal Palace Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 43.93%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.78%
1-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.28%
Head to Head
-
Joachim Andersen
27'
-
Wilfried Zaha
7'
-
Wilfried Zaha
39'
-
Wilfried Zaha
58'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
71'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
75'
-
Ollie Watkins
5'
-
John McGinn
36'
-
Tyrone Mings
9'
-
Ollie Watkins
69'
-
Conor Gallagher
14'
-
Odsonne Edouard
76'
-
Jeffrey Schlupp
81'
-
Cheikhou Kouyate
89'
-
Wilfried Zaha
29'
-
Joel Ward
44'
-
Luka Milivojevic
56'
-
Marc Guehi
90'+5'
-
Matt Targett
15'
-
Matty Cash
29'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
54'
-
Douglas Luiz
74'
-
John McGinn
86'
-
Christian Benteke
32'
-
Joel Ward
73'
-
Wilfried Zaha
75'
-
Cheikhou Kouyate
82'
-
Tyrick Mitchell
84'
-
Wilfried Zaha
90'+2'
-
John McGinn
17'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
34'
-
John McGinn
50'
-
Kortney Hause
86'
-
Bertrand Traore
5'
-
Tyrone Mings
39'
-
Tyrone Mings
45'
-
Jack Grealish
45'+1'
-
Kortney Hause
66'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
76'
-
Wilfried Zaha
39'
-
Luka Milivojevic
56'
-
Joel Ward
68'
-
Eberechi Eze
83'