Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
3 - 2
Wolves

Edouard (56', 84'), Eze (78')
Ward (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hee-chan (65'), Cunha (90+6')
Semedo (24'), Ait-Nouri (27'), Gomes (55')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Plymouth 2-4 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Wolves 5-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
44.62% ( -0.13)	26.49% ( 0.08)	28.89% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.86% (

-0.31)

54.14% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44% (

-0.26)

75.56% (

0.25)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-0.2)

24.15% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.28)

58.47% (

0.28)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-0.13)

33.67% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

-0.14)

70.32% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 44.61%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 28.89%

Draw 26.49%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.61%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.89%