Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 30.52% ( | 24.68% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% ( | 45.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( | 68.11% ( |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( | 28.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( | 63.93% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( | 53.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.8% |