Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT INEA stadion
  • Michal Gurgul 7' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 25' goal
  • Jesper Karlstrom 56' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 72' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 90'+3' goal
  • goal Deian Sorescu 2'
  • yellowcard Ben Lederman 56'
  • yellowcard Adnan Kovacevic 88'

Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 7.00pm
Lech Poznan 2 - 1 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
Ruch Chorzow 3 - 5 Rakow
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Ante Crnac

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result

Lech Poznan 49.31% (-0.06)
Draw 25.56% (+0.02)
Rakow Czestochowa 25.13% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.28% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.81% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.56% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.43% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.72% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.28% (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 78.56% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.43% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.55% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 54.45% (+0.06)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 63.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.78% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 49.3%
Draw 25.56%
Rakow Czestochowa 25.13%
Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 49.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.56%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.13%