Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
49.31% ( -0.06)	25.56% ( 0.02)	25.13% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

-0.03)

52.81% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

-0.03)

74.43% (

0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

-0.04)

21.43% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

-0.06)

54.45% (

0.06)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

0.02)

36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

0.02)

72.78% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 49.3%

Rakow Czestochowa 25.13%

Draw 25.56%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.3%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.13%