Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 0
Puszcza Niepolomice

Kittel (19'), Nowak (26')
Kovacevic (81'), Yeboah (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Serafin (18'), Bartosz (41'), Mesanovic (49'), Tomalski (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, August 26 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
62.12% (-1.446 -1.45)21.56% (0.489 0.49)16.32% (0.957 0.96)
Both teams to score 49.44% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (-0.313 -0.31)47.28% (0.314 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.29 -0.29)69.51% (0.292 0.29)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (-0.551 -0.55)14.66% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.19% (-1.07 -1.07)42.81% (1.071 1.07)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (1.08 1.08)42.07% (-1.077 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (0.918 0.92)78.49% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 62.12%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 16.32%
    Draw 21.55%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.238 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.162 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 16.32%