/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
52'
-
Mayckel Lahdo
65'
-
Mathew Ryan
90'+2'
-
Yuri Ribeiro
73'
AZ Alkmaar vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F20%2FAZ.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
62.84%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
19.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Legia Warsaw
17.5%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
58.52%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
36.54%
Over 3.5
41.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
58.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
23.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
76.8%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
88.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
11.12%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
64.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
35.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5
65.84%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
34.16%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
29.15%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
70.85%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
62.84%
Draw
19.66%
Legia Warsaw
17.5%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.84%
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 62.84%
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 62.84%
Draw
1-1
@
8.96%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.66%
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.66%
Legia Warsaw
1-2
@
4.81%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.5%
0-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.5%