/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
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Vangelis Pavlidis
13'
-
Ibrahim Sadiq
87'
-
Anas Ouahim
53'
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Brian De Keersmaecker
56'
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Navajo Bakboord
82'
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Marko Vejinovic
89'
AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F16%2Fpascal-jansen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
65.31%
▼
(-0.71)
Draw
18.9%
▲
(+0.23)
Heracles
15.78%
▲
(+0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
57.36%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
36.24%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
41.63%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
58.36%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
23.47%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
76.53%
▲
(+0.08)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
89.59%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
10.41%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
66.05%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
33.95%
▲
(+0.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
64.02%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 0.5
35.98%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 1.5
27.24%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 1.5
72.76%
▼
(-0.55)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
65.31%
Draw
18.9%
Heracles
15.78%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.8%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 65.31%
2-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 65.31%
Draw
1-1
@
8.66%
▲
(+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
Heracles
1-2
@
4.43%
▲
(+0.12)
0-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%
0-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%
Jordy Clasie
45'