AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heracles Almelo

AZ
1 - 1
Heracles

Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Heracles

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
65.31% (-0.706 -0.71)18.9% (0.225 0.23)15.78% (0.475 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)36.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)58.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.206 -0.21)10.41% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.95% (0.449 0.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.537 0.54)35.98% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.545 0.54)72.76% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 65.31%
    Heracles 15.78%
    Draw 18.9%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 65.31%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

AZ Alkmaar
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Heracles
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Laursen (42')
Kiomourtzoglou (67')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
> Preview
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 30
Heracles
P-P
AZ