Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
1 - 3
Utrecht

Nankishi (62')
Limbombe (25'), Willems (60'), Vejinovic (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Romeny (5'), Jensen (45+6'), Bakboord (90+4' og.)
Bozdogan (34'), Fraulo (58'), Barkas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, September 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	FC Utrecht
49.98% ( -0.2)	23.18% ( -0.12)	26.84% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.71% (

0.84)

41.29% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.31% (

0.85)

63.69% (

-0.85)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

0.24)

16.68% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

0.43)

46.55% (

-0.43)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.68)

28.5% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72% (

0.84)

64.27% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Heracles 49.98%

FC Utrecht 26.84%

Draw 23.17%

Heracles	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.17%	1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 26.84%