Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Heracles
Sep 2, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Erve Asito
Excelsior
  • Bryan Limbombe 54' goal
  • Justin Hoogma 60' goal
  • Jetro Willems 82' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Sankoh 85' goal
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 19'
  • yellowcard Lazaros Lamprou 39'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 49'
  • redcard Lazaros Lamprou 56'
  • yellowcard Ian Smeulers 76'

Heracles vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Aug 18, 2023 7.00pm
Heracles 2 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 8.00pm
Excelsior 2 - 2 Sittard
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result

Heracles 59.46% ▲ (+0.90)
Draw 21.55% ▼ (-0.37)
SBV Excelsior 18.98% ▼ (-0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.72% ▲ (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.11% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 42.89% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 34.7% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 3.5 65.29% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 4.5 18.04% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 4.5 81.95% ▼ (-0.63)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 85.94% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 14.06% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 58.36% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 1.5 41.63% ▼ (-1.10)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 63.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 36.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 73.12% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Heracles 59.46%
Draw 21.55%
SBV Excelsior 18.98%
Heracles
1-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.55%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.98%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Heracles
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Erve Asito
Excelsior
  • Sinan Bakis 28' goal
  • Justin Hoogma 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 43'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 47'
  • goal Mats Wieffer 63'
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 83'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Excelsior
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Heracles
  • Marouan Azarkan 21' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 74' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 85' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Schoofs 29'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Heracles
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
4
5
HT : 1 2
FT Polman Stadion (Almelo)
Excelsior
  • Adrian Dalmau 23' goal
  • Maximilian Rossmann 43' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 51' goal
  • Adrian Dalmau 59' goal
  • Lerin Duarte 62' goal
  • goal Elias Omarsson 4'
  • goal Elias Omarsson 45'
  • goal Jurgen Mattheij 71'
  • goal Dennis Eckert 89'
  • goal Elias Omarsson 91'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Excelsior
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Heracles
  • Jurgen Mattheij 85' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Peterson 35'
  • goal Brandley Kuwas 43'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Peterson 61'
  • goal Mohammed Osman 66'
Eredivisie
Excelsior
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Heracles
  • Ali Messaoud 7' goal
  • Mike van Duinen 51' goal
  • Ali Messaoud 58' yellowcard
  • Jordy de Wijs 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wout Droste 7'
  • redcard Peter van Ooijen 49'
  • goal Jamiro Monteiro 92'
  • goal Jamiro Monteiro 94'
Eredivisie
Heracles
Aug 26, 2017 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Excelsior
  • Robin Propper 10' yellowcard
  • Brandley Kuwas 15' goal
  • Paul Gladon 52' goal
  • goal Luigi Bruins 16'
  • yellowcard Luigi Bruins 43'
  • goal Jinty Caenepeel 63'
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 90'
  • redcard Anouar Hadouir 90'

Form Data

Heracles 2 - 1 Nijmegen
Ajax 4 - 1 Heracles
Heracles 2 - 0 Jong Ajax
NAC Breda 0 - 3 Heracles
Dordrecht 1 - 3 Heracles
Heracles 3 - 0 Jong PSV
Excelsior 2 - 2 Sittard
Excelsior 2 - 2 Ajax
Nijmegen 3 - 4 Excelsior
Volendam 3 - 2 Excelsior
Excelsior 3 - 0 Sittard
Heerenveen 0 - 0 Excelsior